UFC on FOX 30: Eddie Alvarez vs. Dustin Poirier 2 Predictions

Calgary, Alberta, Canada– UFC on FOX 30: Eddie Alvarez vs. Dustin Poirier 2 takes place Saturday at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta, Canada. The card airs on FOX following early prelims on UFC Fight Pass.

In the main event, Eddie Alvarez (29-5 MMA, 4-2 UFC) will face Dustin Poirier (23-5 MMA, 15-4 UFC). They fought each other the first time back at UFC 211 in May 2017 and as we remember this fight ended in a no-contest due to illegal knees from Alvarez. In the co-main event, Jose Aldo (26-4 MMA, 8-3 UFC) will go against Jeremy Stephens (28-14 MMA, 15-13 UFC). Also on the card we will see former women’s strawweight champion Joanna Jedrzejczyk (14-2 MMA, 8-2 UFC) will take on Tecia Torres (10-2 MMA, 6-2 UFC).

Check out our UFC on FOX 30 Predictions by pur correspondent Austin Sherlock.

(#3) Eddie Alvarez vs. (#4) Dustin Poirier

The first contest between these fighters was an absolute dream for all fights fans. Poirier seemed to get the best of the exchanges while staying more technical boxing to pick Alvarez apart. In true Alvarez fashion, he gets hurt and lands big punches that begin to change the tone of the fight. The first fight ended when Alvarez landed an illegal knee to a grounded Poirier thus ending the fight in a No Contest.

In the rematch, I think we see much of the same fight without many major changes in strategy. Poirier will remain technical and attempt to pick the durable Alvarez apart and look for the finish in the late 4th-early 5th round.

Alvarez may mix in some wrestling and grappling against the cage as that’s where he saw most of his success in the last contest. Eddie could definitely win rounds and wear Poirier down in that department. Aside from that, I think we see The Underground King do what he does best. He will be durable and he will be explosive so don’t blink.

Pick: Poirier via 4th Round TKO.

(#2) Jose Aldo vs. (#4) Jeremy Stephens

In my opinion, this is the best fight to make in the UFC Featherweight division due to the potential title implications, the clash of styles, and the proven former champion vs. a fighter in Stephens that is a veteran but is finally hitting his stride. I think many are looking over Aldo in this contest because of his recent losses to Featherweight king, Max Holloway. Sure, he lost those fights both by TKO but he did have some success in the early rounds landing big shots. Stephens on the other hand has fought some of the absolute best in the world for years but has not had success in title eliminators or fights of this magnitude.

I don’t see Jose Aldo’s game plan changing much in this fight. He will not have to worry about the cardio issue as much due to this being a three round bout. I do think he brings back his patented legs kicks that helped him reach the top and I think he sticks behind his knowledge and utilizes a lot of counter strikes to avoid running into a big shot by Stephens.

Jeremy Stephens’ has looked increasingly more impressive in all of his last three fights. I think Stephens does throw big power shots at Aldo but I do think he will remain more conservative than we have seen him in the past. Eventually, one of those shots will land on Aldo and we will see how Aldo responds.

Pick: Jeremy Stephens via 3rd Round KO

(#1) Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs. (#5) Tecia Torres

Dana White has already stated that the winner of this fight will likely not receive the next shot at the UFC Strawweight title but that does not devalue the importance of this fight for the division. Joanna is coming off of two consecutive losses in bouts with the Champion, Rose Namajunes. Before those losses, she was unbeaten in 14 bouts and seemed untouchable. All while many know the story of Joanna, Torres has quietly built quite the résumé with wins over Michelle Waterson, Juliana Lima, and Angela Hill.

On the feet, I don’t think Joanna is going to be as hesitant as she was in the second Namajunes fight as Torres is not the same caliber of striker. Joanna could win this fight by implementing the same style that saw her earn victories over the very best challengers the UFC had to offer.

Torres has to rely on her ability to close the distance against Joanna to have any success here. She does train with Rose Namajunes so I am sure she has a few secrets that she will implement but I do not see how she wins this fight.

Pick: Jedrzejczyk via Unanimous Decision

The Rest of the Card:

(#15) Olivier Aubin-Mercier def. (#13) Alexander Hernandez

Jordan Mein def. Alex Morono

Hakeem Dawodu def. Austin Arnett

Islam Makhachev def. Kajan Johnson

Gadzhimurad Antigulov def. Ion Cutelaba

John Makdessi def. Ross Pearson

Alexis Davis def. Katlyn Chookagian

Dustin Ortiz def. Matheus Nicolau

(#12) Randa Markos def. (#13) Nina Ansaroff

Devin Powell def. Alvaro Herrera

Thanks for reading and be sure to listen to “The Concussion Discussion Podcast on iTunes, Youtube, Spotify, Google Play, and give a follow on instagram @theconcussiondiscussion before fights for further breakdowns, fight news, and predictions.

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